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Feb 13, 2026
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LONG
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"We're investing also $1 trillion in our armed forces, most we've ever spent. And next year it's being raised... We're also purchasing 30 new and modified Abrams tanks... 48 new Blackhawk, Chinook, and King Stallion helicopters." The administration is shifting from "maintenance" to "expansion" with a specific focus on heavy hardware (tanks, helos) rather than just software or cyber. The explicit mention of increasing the budget *again* next year provides multi-year revenue visibility for prime contractors. The renaming to "Department of War" implies a higher operational tempo and consumption of munitions/equipment. Long Defense Primes and the Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA). Specific beneficiaries include Lockheed Martin (Blackhawks/King Stallions) and Boeing (Chinooks). Budget appropriation delays or geopolitical de-escalation reducing urgency. |
CNBC
President Trump delivers remarks to the troop...
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Feb 13, 2026
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LONG
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"We're going to be building a number of battleships... The hulls are made of seven inches of steel, not aluminum. Aluminum is fine... but I'll take steel." The President explicitly disparages aluminum for naval applications in favor of heavy steel. This signals a government-mandated shift in material procurement for the Navy's new "10 battleship" order. This creates a guaranteed demand shock for domestic steel producers, particularly those capable of military-grade production. Long US Steel producers. Supply chain bottlenecks or raw material cost inflation. |
CNBC
President Trump delivers remarks to the troop...
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Feb 13, 2026
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LONG
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"We have $18 trillion being invested right now in our country from other companies and countries... The King of Saudi Arabia... said 'now you have the hottest country anywhere in the world.'" If $18 trillion in foreign capital has entered the US in under a year, demand for the US Dollar (to facilitate these investments) and US assets (Equities/Real Estate) is at historic highs. This liquidity wall supports high equity valuations and a strong dollar despite high spending. Long US Dollar (UUP) and US Broad Equities (SPY) as the "capital magnet" thesis plays out. Global liquidity crisis or sudden capital flight if geopolitical stability fractures. |
CNBC
President Trump delivers remarks to the troop...
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Feb 13, 2026
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LONG
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"We'll also be investing over a billion dollars to improve on-base housing and a lot more than that at Fort Bragg... We're going to get that done." The administration is prioritizing physical infrastructure upgrades on domestic bases. This creates direct government contracts for construction firms and materials suppliers operating near major military hubs like Fort Bragg. Long Construction and Engineering firms with government exposure. Bureaucratic delays in contract awarding. |
CNBC
President Trump delivers remarks to the troop...
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Feb 12, 2026
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LONG
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"Fossil fuels such as oil... and other things that actually make factories rock and roll." The explicit goal is to lower energy input costs to boost heavy manufacturing. Cheaper diesel and relaxed emissions standards benefit heavy machinery manufacturers and the broader industrial sector. LONG industrials and machinery. Global trade wars or tariffs increasing the cost of raw materials (steel/aluminum). |
Bloomberg Markets
Trump Announces Repeal of Climate Endangermen...
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Feb 12, 2026
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LONG
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"Terminating the so-called endangerment finding... damaged the American auto industry... This action will eliminate over $1.3 trillion of regulatory costs and help bring car prices tumbling down." The repeal of the Endangerment Finding effectively kills federal emissions mandates that forced automakers to subsidize EV production with ICE profits. Legacy US automakers (GM, Ford) rely on high-margin trucks and SUVs (ICE vehicles). Deregulation allows them to maximize production of their most profitable units without buying regulatory credits or forcing unprofitable EV volume. LONG legacy US automakers as regulatory overhead vanishes. Retaliatory tariffs from export markets or state-level (California/CARB) legal battles maintaining stricter standards. |
Bloomberg Markets
Trump Announces Repeal of Climate Endangermen...
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Feb 12, 2026
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LONG
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"Fossil fuels have saved millions of lives... [The EPA finding] had no basis in fact... and it had no basis in law." By removing the legal classification of CO2 as a pollutant/threat, the administration removes the legal foundation for restricting drilling, refining, and pipeline construction. This signals a "drill, baby, drill" environment where compliance costs drop and volume increases. LONG traditional energy and integrated oil majors. A massive supply glut could crash oil prices, hurting margins despite lower regulatory costs. |
Bloomberg Markets
Trump Announces Repeal of Climate Endangermen...
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Feb 12, 2026
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SHORT
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"You see it with the blackouts all over where they don't use it, where they went to wind, intermittent wind, which is weak and ineffective and very, very costly." The President is explicitly hostile toward wind energy, labeling it "ineffective." The repeal of the Endangerment Finding provides the legal cover to strip subsidies (ITC/PTC) and prioritize baseload fossil power over renewables. Without federal support, the unit economics of wind projects deteriorate. SHORT wind and broad clean energy ETFs. Private sector demand for renewables (hyperscalers/AI data centers) may sustain growth regardless of federal policy. |
Bloomberg Markets
Trump Announces Repeal of Climate Endangermen...
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Feb 11, 2026
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LONG
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"I'm directing the Department of Energy to issue funds to coal plants... to keep them online... I will sign an executive order that directs the Department of War to work directly with coal plants on the new power purchasing agreements." The federal government is shifting from a regulator to a guaranteed customer and subsidizer of the coal industry. By mandating the military (Department of War) to buy coal power and issuing direct funds to prevent closures, the terminal value risk of these companies is removed, and cash flows are government-backed. Peabody (BTU) was explicitly named and honored. LONG US coal producers as beneficiaries of direct state support and military contracts. Reversal of executive orders by courts or future administrations; global pricing pressures on thermal coal. |
CNBC
President Trump participates in an event on c...
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Feb 11, 2026
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SHORT
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"Solar and wind totally collapsed... We're not going to do any hopefully for four years in this country. They're losers... You're supposed to make money with energy, not lose money." The administration is actively hostile toward renewable energy. The statement "not going to do any" implies a freeze on permits, removal of subsidies (ITC/PTC), and a regulatory environment designed to bankrupt the sector. Without federal credits, the unit economics of wind and solar in the US will deteriorate rapidly. SHORT US-centric renewable energy stocks and ETFs. State-level mandates (California/New York) continuing to support the sector despite federal hostility. |
CNBC
President Trump participates in an event on c...
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Feb 11, 2026
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LONG
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"Coal is also critical to... artificial intelligence... It's incredible what's happening with coal." The President views coal as the primary solution to the "energy cliff" facing AI data centers. This implies that regulatory hurdles for powering new data centers will be removed *if* they utilize fossil fuel baseloads. This removes the power-constraint bottleneck for AI scaling. LONG AI infrastructure and data centers, as energy constraints are being legislated away via coal deregulation. Tech companies (Amazon, Microsoft, Google) refusing coal power due to internal ESG mandates despite government pressure. |
CNBC
President Trump participates in an event on c...
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Feb 11, 2026
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LONG
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"Coal is also critical to our national security, vital to everything from steel production to ship building... Our trade deficit has gone down 78%... because of tariffs." The combination of aggressive tariffs (protectionism) and a focus on "Department of War" industrial output (shipbuilding/steel) creates a protected, high-demand environment for domestic steel producers. Metallurgical coal demand is explicitly linked to this industrial ramp-up. LONG US Steel and Industrial producers protected by the tariff wall. Retaliatory tariffs from trading partners hurting US exports; higher input costs for manufacturers. |
CNBC
President Trump participates in an event on c...
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